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UNF poll of likely Republican voters in Florida shows low trust in U.S. House not helped by Speaker’s ousting

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – A University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab poll found that nearly 60% of likely Republican voters in Florida have little to no trust in the U.S. House of Representatives.

Thirty-eight percent of respondents said they have very little trust in the House, and 20% said they have no trust at all.

Just 8% said they have a great deal of trust in the House, with 31% indicating some trust.

“The situation in Congress seems to have made a bad impression on about a third of likely Republican voters,” said Dr. Michael Binder, PORL faculty director and professor of political science at UNF.

Of those who responded, 49% said House Speaker Kevin McCarthy’s removal didn’t affect their level of trust in the House, 27% said it decreased their trust and 16% said it increased their trust.

The poll also found the upcoming presidential election is weighing on the minds of likely Republican voters in Florida. Of those surveyed, 69% said they have put “a great deal” of thought into the primary.

About a quarter said they have put some thought into it, and 8% have thought about it very little.

UNF’s PORL also used the survey to look ahead at the 2026 Florida governor’s race, asking likely Republican voters who they would vote for if the primary were held today.

Many -- 40% -- said they didn’t know or refused to answer. Of those who made a choice, 22% said they would vote for Casey DeSantis. Both Byron Donalds and Matt Gaetz got 9% of the potential early support.

For the methodology and full results of the poll, click here.


About the Author
Francine Frazier headshot

A Jacksonville native and proud University of North Florida alum, Francine Frazier has been with News4Jax since 2014 after spending nine years at The Florida Times-Union.

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