Three Areas of Possible Tropical Development, One to Watch

A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or so, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Trick or Treat to your Weekend

The Southwestern Caribbean Sea system continues to show signs of development.

The Southwestern Caribbean Sea system continues to show signs of development.

There is a 40% chance of formation over the next 7 days.

Tropical Development Possible in the Caribbean as we Near the Last Month of Hurricane Season

We are just days away from the last month of Hurricane Season, which ends on Nov. 30. However, there has been a consistent chance for a disturbance in the tropics during the first week in November.

The National Hurricane Center issued the first outlook on a low-pressure system brewing in the Southwestern Caribbean Sea.

A warm fall-like pattern starts to take shape Sunday and through the first half of the week as September ends and October begins.

Rain chances will remain below 50 percent before a possible storm and cooler air moves in

September started with plenty of rain and will end with summerlike temperatures with mostly sunny skies.

Chance of Tropical Development Increasing, Path is Uncertain

Possible Tropical Development in the Gulf. Where will it go?

Keep an Eye on the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico

Tropical Depression Gordon and Potential Tropical Cyclone 8

It’s an area of low atmospheric pressure, thunderstorms and wind sloshing out of the Caribbean Sea into the Gulf of Mexico.

Hurricane Beryl is the strongest Atlantic hurricane reached so early in the calendar year. Hurricane strikes this early in the season are virtually unheard of when hit Grenada Monday in the Lesser Antilles.

Last day of June brings high heat and afternoon storms

Beryl has grown into a hurricane in the Atlantic and is forecast to strengthen into a major storm as it nears the Caribbean.

A person is dead and two others were arrested after a Coast Guard crew’s airborne use of force to stop a non-compliant vessel suspected of smuggling drugs in the Caribbean Sea on New Year’s Day.

A couple of Spots to Watch in the Tropics, One Close to Home

Today is W-E-T! Rain chances continuing throughout the day.

Tracking the Tropics as new disturbances and storms form

Tropical Storm Bret continued to strengthen Wednesday morning as it moved westward toward the Lesser Antilles.

More than 14,000 pounds of cocaine seized.

Tropical Depression Lisa has moved into southern Mexico a day after making landfall as a hurricane in the Central American nation of Belize and heading inland over northern Guatemala.

Hurricane Lisa has made landfall on the Caribbean coast of Belize.

From the National Hurricane Center:

There are many ways to categorize a hurricane. The storm’s central pressure is one way. The height of its storm surge is another. How much rain it drops is another. And, of course, the strength of its wind is another. But what causes a hurricane to strengthen or weaken? The answer is simple enough, but multifaceted.

A shark attacked and killed a U.S. cruise ship passenger who was snorkeling in waters around the Bahamas on Tuesday, according to authorities.

From the National Hurricane Center: For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Forecasters are watching one tropical wave in the eastern Caribbean Sea.

From the National Hurricane Center: Near the Yucatan Peninsula and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure located near the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and Yucatan Peninsula. Despite strong upper-level winds, this system is likely to become a tropical depression or tropical storm while it moves slowly northeastward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and southeastern Gulf of Mexico during the next day or two. Interests in western Cuba, the Florida Keys, and the Florida Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system, and tropical storm watches or warnings could be required for some of these areas later today.

A U.S. Coast Guard vessel offloaded Thursday more than 30 metric tons of cocaine and marijuana worth over $1 billion that was seized at sea during a months-long deployment off the coast of South America.

Tropical Storm Ida has formed in the Caribbean and forecasters say it's aimed at the U.S. Gulf Coast, prompting Louisiana’s governor to declare a state of emergency and forecasters to announce a hurricane watch for New Orleans.

At 8 a.m. Sunday, Tropical Storm Elsa was located about 145 miles southeast of Cabo Cruz, Cuba, and moving west-northwest at 13 mph. It had maximum sustained winds of 65 mph.

Hurricane information and weather headlines from The Local Station in Jacksonville, Florida, WJXT - Jacksonville's Channel 4.

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – Over 520 pounds of cocaine was seized after a United States Coast crew intercepted a 16-foot go-fast style boat in the Caribbean Sea. The crew completed their 26-day patrol Tuesday and returned home to Naval Station Mayport. USCGC Valiant patrolled over 4,600 nautical miles with Coast Guard Sector San Juan, Puerto Rico, where they conducted counter-narcotics operations. Valiant received information on a potential threat in the Mona Pass and shifted gears from training to law enforcement. The suspects were transported to the United States for prosecution.

Tropical depression 31 became Tropical Storm Iota Friday evening in the western Caribbean Sea on a path to the Nicaraguan coast. This is the 30th named storm in a record bustling hurricane season. In a normal Atlantic hurricane season, about 12 named storms form with six of them becoming hurricanes. The center of Tropical Storm Iota was located near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 74.3 West. Iota is moving toward the west-southwest near 3 mph (6 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through early Saturday.

Hurricane experts were closely watching the Caribbean, where Tropical Storm Iota formed Friday afternoon. The National Hurricane Center in Miami said Iota could bring dangerous wind, storm surge and as much as 30 inches (76 centimeters) of rainfall to northern Nicaragua and Honduras. The storm was located about 350 miles (560 kilometers) south-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica and had maximum sustained winds of 40 mph (65 kph). Iota is a record-setting 30th named storm of this year’s extraordinarily busy Atlantic hurricane season. Earlier, firefighters in Tampa had to rescue around a dozen people who got stuck in storm surge flooding on a boulevard adjacent to the bay.

Tropical Storm Eta caused severe flooding in South Florida in areas already saturated from previous downpours. The system made landfall in the Florida Keys and posed a serious threat across South Florida, which was already drenched from more than 14 inches of rain last month. The Hurricane Warning for the Florida Keys and Florida Bay have been replaced with a Tropical Storm Warning. The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm Warning for the Florida west coast from Englewood to Anna Maria Island. On the forecast track, the center of Eta will gradually pull away from the Florida Keys and south Florida today and be over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico tonight through Wednesday.

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – Mini to moderate nor’easter develops over the next 3-5 days (yes, into the weekend). Hopefully, next weekend we will clear out and be a little bit closer to November weather. High pressure will be keeping Eta well down south in the Caribbean Sea and will slowly relax allowing Eta to move northward. Back over the super warm (and deep) waters in the Caribbean Sea, Eta will, once again, re-intensify. Temperatures will be pleasantly warm, starting off each day in the mid 60s to around 70° and each afternoon in the mid to upper 70s.

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – The tropics are gloriously quiet right now. It looks like that will continue for the rest of this week. Next week all eyes will be on the Gulf of Mexico as the long-term forecast model (GFS) has consistently shown from model run to model run, a system developing in the Gulf. What has not been consistent at all is where that system ends up, with wildly different outcomes nearly each model run. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. All of the super humid/tropical air surrounding Laura, extended from the Caribbean Sea to Jacksonville all the way to Texas. An amazing large region of deep tropical moisture that left us with afternoon feel-like temperatures >105 the past 4 days. Winds above us are now shifting as the leftovers of Laura are moving well north of Jacksonville. Additionally, the southwesterly winds will push whatever afternoon and evening storms all the way to area beaches. Make sure you have your umbrella with you starting around 2 pm each day through the weekend.

Now Tropical Storm Marco is expected to reach the Gulf Coast Monday night into Tuesday. Marco will be susceptible to rapid changes in structure and intensity until it reaches the northern Gulf Coast. Tropical Storm Marco (TropicalTidbits)RELATED: System headed toward Florida gets a name: Laura | 2 tropical systems in Gulf next week | Wind shear fades over the Main Development Region of the tropics - A bad omen? Strong winds, life-threatening storm surge, and heavy rainfall are expected from Marco along portions of the Gulf Coast beginning on Monday. Tropical Storm Laura could bring additional storm surge, rainfall, and wind impacts to portions of the U.S. Gulf Coast by the middle of the week.

97L InvestThe first system we are watching is a tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, along with gusty winds in these thunderstorms. We are watching a large area of showers and thunderstorms, located over Guinea and Sierra-Leone, Africa, is associated with a vigorous tropical wave. Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for some development of this system while the wave enters the extreme eastern Atlantic on Friday. Tracking The TropicsLooking AheadThe concern with these systems is the environmental conditions these storms will be entering may be conducive to development. Another factor that may lead to more conducive conditions for development is the weaker wind shear.

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. Shear weakened and tore apart what was Tropical Storm Josephine, now an area of showers is heading towards Bermuda. The system the was Tropical Storm Kyle is now extra-tropical and racing off into the northern Atlantic. Now we turn our focus to two new areas that are likely to develop. The first is a fast-moving tropical wave located about 500 miles east of the Windward Islands. The next system to watch is another tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic well to the southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized showers.

HAVANA – A powerful magnitude 7.7 earthquake struck in the Caribbean Sea between Jamaica and eastern Cuba on Tuesday, shaking a vast area from Mexico to Florida and beyond, but there were no reports of casualties or heavy damage. The quake was centered 86 miles northwest of Montego Bay, Jamaica, and 87 miles west-southwest of Niquero, Cuba, according to the U.S. Geological Survey. Dr. Enrique Arango Arias, head of Cuba's National Seismological Service, told state media that there had been no serious damage or injuries reported. The Pacific Tsunami Warning Center initially warned that the quake could generate waves 1 to 3 feet above normal in Cuba, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, Honduras, Mexico and Belize, but issued a later message saying the danger had passed. The quake also hit the Cayman Islands, leaving cracked roads and what appeared to be sewage spilling from cracked mains.

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. - The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a tropical wave in the eastern Caribbean Sea. Forecasters say some development of the system is possible through Friday, but it is looking less and less likely that this will become the next Tropical Depression or Storm. Showers associated with a tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean Sea have decreased since yesterday. The tropical wave is expected to struggle to stay organized over the next few days as it moves over Puerto Rico and Hispanola- as it interacts with land, it will remain weak. By Thursday into Friday the tropical wave will emerge into the Straits of Florida, or the area between the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic Ocean, just to the south of the Florida Keys.