WEATHER ALERT
How accurate were forecasts during the 2024 hurricane season?
Read full article: How accurate were forecasts during the 2024 hurricane season?The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season was a nail-biter to the end, keeping seasonal hurricane forecasters on the edge of their seats this past hurricane season. So how did they do in predicting the numbers?
CSU has reduced the number of predicted named storms this season. What that means for our area
Read full article: CSU has reduced the number of predicted named storms this season. What that means for our areaCSU released their latest forecast for the remainder of hurricane season and it's tweaked slightly lower.
Colorado State University experts increase hurricane forecast for 2024 season
Read full article: Colorado State University experts increase hurricane forecast for 2024 seasonA day after deadly Hurricane Beryl pounded Texas, experts at Colorado State University on Tuesday increased their storm forecast for what was already expected to be an above-average hurricane season.
Save money and reduce stress: How to build your hurricane kit one week at a time
Read full article: Save money and reduce stress: How to build your hurricane kit one week at a timeAs we approach the 2024 hurricane season, we are helping you build your emergency kit one week at a time so you can spread out the cost and not rush at the last minute.
Could the hyperactive hurricane season prediction impact Florida’s property insurance rates?
Read full article: Could the hyperactive hurricane season prediction impact Florida’s property insurance rates?Colorado State University’s (CSU) preseason hurricane forecast could potentially have a detrimental effect on Florida’s property insurance rates.
Colorado State University forecasters now call for an above-average hurricane season
Read full article: Colorado State University forecasters now call for an above-average hurricane seasonThe seasonal forecast, which was updated on July 6, has been raised from a slightly above-average season earlier this year.
Wednesday is the last day of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season. The storms that left a lasting mark on Florida
Read full article: Wednesday is the last day of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season. The storms that left a lasting mark on FloridaToday is the last day of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season and what a year it’s been.
Sigh, here we go again? Forecasters predict 7th above-normal hurricane season in a row
Read full article: Sigh, here we go again? Forecasters predict 7th above-normal hurricane season in a rowIf his forecast is correct, the 2022 hurricane season will be the seventh above-normal season in a row, and we will have seen 70 named storms over three years.
Expert: If you need flood insurance, it’s better to get it sooner rather than later
Read full article: Expert: If you need flood insurance, it’s better to get it sooner rather than laterTo protect your home ahead of a major storm, Sean Way, with We Insure Group, joined “The Morning Show” on Sunday to answer questions about flood insurance.
Hurricane experts now predicting more storms in 2021
Read full article: Hurricane experts now predicting more storms in 2021Fresh off of Tropical Storm Elsa impacting the Sunshine State, Colorado State University rereleased an update to its hurricane season forecast, WKMG-TV Meteorologist Jonathan Kegges reports.
NOAA releases its busiest hurricane forecast ever
Read full article: NOAA releases its busiest hurricane forecast everJACKSONVILLE, Fla. This hurricane season is on pace to become the second most active Atlantic hurricane season on record, if the latest seasonal predictions from federal prosecutors come true. Hurricane specialists and researchers at the National Hurricane Center and their parent organization, NOAA, announced its midseason updated forecast Thursday. NOAA initially stated a 60% in May of an active season but has been increased those odds to 85%. During the infamous 2005 hurricane season, NOAA predicted in its August outlook another extremely active season, with an expected total of 18-21 tropical storms and nine-11 hurricanes. Another reason for the extremely active Atlantic hurricane seasonal forecast is due to the abundant number of tropical waves rolling off West Africa.
Hurricane Alpha? Amped up season forecast, names may run out
Read full article: Hurricane Alpha? Amped up season forecast, names may run outAlready smashing records, this years hyperactive Atlantic hurricane season is about to get even nastier, forecasters predict. The agency increased the chance of an above average hurricane season from 60% to 85%. Colorado State University, which pioneered hurricane season forecasts decades ago, on Wednesday amped its forecast to 24 named storms, 12 hurricanes and 5 major hurricanes all higher than their June forecast. An average year, based on 1981 to 2010 data, is 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes. There are 21 names assigned to a hurricane season.
CSU now predicts 24 named storms this hurricane season
Read full article: CSU now predicts 24 named storms this hurricane seasonJACKSONVILLE, Fla. Colorado State University (CSU) released its August update to the universitys long-term hurricane season forecast, raising the number of storms and hurricanes they expect for the 2020 season. The original prediction from CSU already called for an above-average hurricane season, but the August update raises the number of named storms from 20 to 24 (keep in mind theyve already named nine so far), and the number of those that become hurricanes from nine to twelve. Dr Phillip Klotzbach explains in a series of tweets the different factors that contribute to the extremely active hurricane season:One reason for increase in CSU Atlantic #hurricane season forecast is extremely warm tropical Atlantic sea surface temps. More robust easterly waves and more conducive upper-level winds for hurricanes in the tropical Atlantic are typically associated with active monsoon. pic.twitter.com/LhdDMRrSlS Philip Klotzbach (@philklotzbach) August 5, 2020Another reason for active CSU Atlantic #hurricane season forecast is odds of #ElNino this summer/fall are extremely low.
CSUs Hurricane forecast updated for 2020 season
Read full article: CSUs Hurricane forecast updated for 2020 seasonJACKSONVILLE, Fla. Colorado State University (CSU) released its July update to their long term hurricane season forecast, raising the number of storms and hurricanes they expect for the 2020 season. Updated seasonal #hurricane forecast from @ColoradoStateUcontinues call for very active 2020 Atlantic #hurricane season. Multiple 2020 hurricane season outlooks have been released and they are trending toward an active year. This year the average forecast -- for all 13 groups that have submitted to Seasonal Hurricane Predictions -- is eight hurricanes and 17 named storms. An average season sees six hurricanes and 12 named storms.
Time to replace the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale?
Read full article: Time to replace the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale?It may be time to change the hurricane scale to better represent the overall hurricane dangers. Hurricane expert and seasonal tropical cyclone expert Dr. Philip Klotzbach at Colorado State University said using hurricane pressure is a better way to convey the potential damage from hurricanes compared to using conventional wind measurements. Most who live in the hurricane belt know the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale well. In contrast, Charley had higher pressure and higher winds but was much smaller than Katrina, resulting in less destruction focused around Port Charlotte and less rain. Hurricane Sandy was a classic example, packing a very low Category 3-4 pressure of 942 mb even though it came ashore as a Category 1 on the Saffir-Simpson rating.
Warm sea surface temperatures make above-average hurricane season likely
Read full article: Warm sea surface temperatures make above-average hurricane season likelyJACKSONVILLE, Fla. – Hurricane season is fast approaching and it is likely to be an active -- maybe even an extremely active -- season. Historically, warmer than normal sea surface temperatures in the eastern Atlantic correlate with more active Atlantic #hurricane season. "Since tropical systems feed off of warm sea surface temperatures, this could certainly lead to a more active 2020 Atlantic hurricane season," Ward says. The ECMWF seasonal hurricane forecast is derived from a count of vortices spun up by the model during the hurricane season, says Klotzbach. List of 2020 Hurricane Season Names (wjxt)There is also a chance there is an active season and nothing could make it to land.
4 major hurricanes are predicted as part of an above-normal 2020 Atlantic hurricane season
Read full article: 4 major hurricanes are predicted as part of an above-normal 2020 Atlantic hurricane season(CNN) -- Sixteen named storms, including eight hurricanes, are forecast for the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season, according to early predictions released Thursday by experts at Colorado State University. "Two of the last three years have had major hurricane landfalls in the US (2017 and 2018)," Miller said. "Before that, there was a 12-year drought without a single major hurricane landfall anywhere in the country (from Hurricane Wilma in 2005 to Hurricane Harvey in 2017)." "The last major hurricane to strike the US was Hurricane Michael in 2018," he said. April is about the earliest experts can get a good indication of what conditions will be like during the hurricane season.
Researchers see slightly more active 2019 hurricane season
Read full article: Researchers see slightly more active 2019 hurricane seasonFORT COLLINS, Colo. - Researchers at Colorado State University revised their forecast Monday for the remainder of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. The Colorado State team now predicts 14 named storms this season, up from 13 in the group's April forecast. According to Monday's report, near-average sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic and a weakening El Nio event in the tropical Pacific are the primary reasons for the near-average prediction. The warm waters that remain in the central tropical Pacific should continue to inhibit the growth of storms throughout the rest of the hurricane season. The CSU team says the current season is exhibiting characteristics to the 1992 season in which there were few storms, but one of which was Hurricane Andrew.
Researchers release updated 2019 hurricane forecast
Read full article: Researchers release updated 2019 hurricane forecastFORT COLLINS, Colo. - Researchers at Colorado State University revised their forecast Monday for the remainder of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. The Colorado State team now predicts 14 named storms this season, up from 13 in the group's April forecast. Of those hurricanes, the forecast of two being named "major" hurricanes remains the same. The warm waters that remain in the central tropical Pacific should continue to inhibit the growth of storms throughout the rest of the hurricane season. The updated forecast is not a reason for South Florida residents to let down their guard.