INSIDER
From New Jersey to Hawaii, Trump made inroads in surprising places in his path to the White House
Read full article: From New Jersey to Hawaii, Trump made inroads in surprising places in his path to the White HouseDonald Trump made inroads in surprising places this election year in his path to the White House.
Trump won more young voters, but many don't agree with him on issues: AP VoteCast
Read full article: Trump won more young voters, but many don't agree with him on issues: AP VoteCastYoung voters swung toward President-elect Donald Trump in this year’s election, but according to AP VoteCast, they’re not the staunchly conservative base that he’s relied on in the past.
Democracy was a motivating factor for both Harris and Trump voters, but for very different reasons
Read full article: Democracy was a motivating factor for both Harris and Trump voters, but for very different reasonsInflation and immigration emerged as the dominant themes in this year’s presidential race.
AP VoteCast shows Trump boosted his level of support among Catholic voters
Read full article: AP VoteCast shows Trump boosted his level of support among Catholic votersAmong several blocs of religious voters, including his loyal evangelical base, Donald Trump fared roughly as well in his victory over Kamala Harris as he did in his loss to Joe Biden four years ago.
How 5 key demographic groups voted in 2024: AP VoteCast
Read full article: How 5 key demographic groups voted in 2024: AP VoteCastDonald Trump won the presidency after holding tight to his core base of voters and slightly expanding his coalition to include several groups that have traditionally been a part of the Democratic base. That finding comes from AP VoteCast, a sweeping survey of more than 120,000 voters nationwide that shows what issues mattered to voters in this election.
How 5 key demographic groups voted in 2024: AP VoteCast
Read full article: How 5 key demographic groups voted in 2024: AP VoteCastDonald Trump won the presidency after holding tight to his core base of voters and slightly expanding his coalition to include several groups that have traditionally been a part of the Democratic base.
AP VoteCast: Voters who focused on the economy broke hard for Trump
Read full article: AP VoteCast: Voters who focused on the economy broke hard for TrumpPresident-elect Donald Trump tapped into deep anxieties about an economy that seemed unable despite its recent growth to meet the needs of the middle class.
With Trump's win, some women wonder: Will the US ever see a female president?
Read full article: With Trump's win, some women wonder: Will the US ever see a female president?Voters had the chance this election to break the highest glass ceiling in American politics by electing Kamala Harris the nation’s first female president.
AP VoteCast: Voter anxiety over the economy and a desire for change return Trump to the White House
Read full article: AP VoteCast: Voter anxiety over the economy and a desire for change return Trump to the White HouseA disaffected electorate wanted former President Donald Trump to return to the White House, a blatant rejection of Vice President Kamala Harris and her nearly four years with President Joe Biden.
Early election takeaways: Trump weakens Democrats’ coalition
Read full article: Early election takeaways: Trump weakens Democrats’ coalitionEven with the outcome uncertain Tuesday night, the 2024 presidential election already has exposed the depths of a fractured nation as the candidates navigated political shifts based on class, race and age under the near-constant threat of misinformation and violence.
AP VoteCast: Harris voters motivated by democracy, Trump supporters by inflation and immigration
Read full article: AP VoteCast: Harris voters motivated by democracy, Trump supporters by inflation and immigrationVoters for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump who cast their ballots for Tuesday’s presidential election had vastly different motivations — reflecting a broader national divide on the problems the United States faces.
Abortion rights advocates win in 7 states and clear way to overturn Missouri ban but lose in 3
Read full article: Abortion rights advocates win in 7 states and clear way to overturn Missouri ban but lose in 3Abortion rights advocates lost on Florida, Nebraska and South Dakota ballot measures but prevailed in seven other states, including Missouri, where an amendment clears the way to undo one of the nation's strictest bans.
Harris will address a historically Black sorority in Indiana as campaign hopes to win women of color
Read full article: Harris will address a historically Black sorority in Indiana as campaign hopes to win women of colorVice President Kamala Harris has told members of the historically Black sorority Zeta Phi Beta that “we are not playing around,” and asked for their support in November.
A chunk of Republican primary and caucus voters say they wouldn’t vote for Trump as the GOP nominee
Read full article: A chunk of Republican primary and caucus voters say they wouldn’t vote for Trump as the GOP nomineeA small but substantial chunk of Republican primary and caucus voters say they would be so dissatisfied if Donald Trump became the party’s presidential nominee that they wouldn't vote for him in November’s general election.
Here's how Trump won in South Carolina — and what it could mean for his chances in November
Read full article: Here's how Trump won in South Carolina — and what it could mean for his chances in NovemberDonald Trump won over South Carolina Republicans as the candidate who voters believe can win in November, keep the country safe and will stand up and fight for them as president.
AP VoteCast: What the first contests tell us about the Trump and Biden coalitions
Read full article: AP VoteCast: What the first contests tell us about the Trump and Biden coalitionsWith momentum from this month’s presidential contests in Iowa and New Hampshire, Joe Biden and Donald Trump appear poised to give the nation a sequel to the 2020 election — but even strong victories this week for both men highlighted weak spots for each of them.
Trump rides to New Hampshire victory on the strength of support from the GOP base, AP VoteCast shows
Read full article: Trump rides to New Hampshire victory on the strength of support from the GOP base, AP VoteCast showsFormer President Donald Trump had rock-solid support from the party faithful in his New Hampshire primary victory, and even most backers of rival Nikki Haley acknowledge the GOP belongs to him.
Here's how Trump won in Iowa — and why the caucuses were practically over before they began
Read full article: Here's how Trump won in Iowa — and why the caucuses were practically over before they beganDonald Trump cultivated a deep network of support in Iowa over his three presidential runs and that showed in the leadoff caucuses.
Trump wins Iowa's leadoff caucuses, while DeSantis takes second ahead of Haley. Follow live updates
Read full article: Trump wins Iowa's leadoff caucuses, while DeSantis takes second ahead of Haley. Follow live updatesFormer President Donald Trump has won Iowa’s first-in-the-nation caucuses, with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis coming in second.
Inflation drops to 3% and Biden hopes to turn a weakness with voters into a strength
Read full article: Inflation drops to 3% and Biden hopes to turn a weakness with voters into a strengthThe politics of inflation took a sharp turn with a new report showing consumer prices rose at the slowest pace since the early months of Joe Biden’s presidency.
Anti-Trump GOP voters mostly loyal in 2022, but not entirely
Read full article: Anti-Trump GOP voters mostly loyal in 2022, but not entirelyDonald Trump may hold a tight grasp on much of the Republican base, but there's a notable minority of GOP voters who don’t consider themselves members of his “Make America Great Again” movement.
GOP stumbles with independents contributed to midterm woes
Read full article: GOP stumbles with independents contributed to midterm woesA sweeping national survey of the electorate, AP VoteCast, shows that Republican House candidates nationwide won the support of 38% of independent voters during last month's midterm elections.
Doubts about candidates tipped the scales in tightest races
Read full article: Doubts about candidates tipped the scales in tightest racesVoters deciding to split their tickets or buck their party altogether may have helped Democrats mount a stronger-than-expected performance in the recent midterm elections.
AP VoteCast: Midterm races a patchwork, not a national vote
Read full article: AP VoteCast: Midterm races a patchwork, not a national voteIf Tuesday’s vote defied the durable history of presidential parties taking heavy losses in a midterm election, it also reinforced an often-forgotten fact: These campaigns are a patchwork of thousands of races, not a nationwide contest.
Analyzing the data: DeSantis wins by largest margin of any Fla. governor in 40 years
Read full article: Analyzing the data: DeSantis wins by largest margin of any Fla. governor in 40 yearsGov. Ron DeSantis handily won his reelection Tuesday night by the largest margin of any Florida governor in 40 years.
Kemp and Abrams in rematch race for Georgia governor
Read full article: Kemp and Abrams in rematch race for Georgia governorGeorgia Republican Gov. Brian Kemp and Democratic challenger Stacey Abrams are facing off in a rematch of the state’s last governor’s race, with both seeking a remarkable achievement.
Low public confidence in Supreme Court as Breyer retires
Read full article: Low public confidence in Supreme Court as Breyer retiresJustice Stephen Breyer's impending retirement from the Supreme Court gives President Joe Biden his first pick at a time when the public has increasingly negative views of the high court.
AP VoteCast: Youngkin win built by small gains in key groups
Read full article: AP VoteCast: Youngkin win built by small gains in key groupsRepublican Glenn Youngkin mobilized voters with concerns over race and education and made slight gains with suburban voters and other key groups to improve on Donald Trump’s poor showing last year and win election as Virginia governor.
Florida Democrats elect ex-Miami Mayor Diaz as state leader
Read full article: Florida Democrats elect ex-Miami Mayor Diaz as state leaderDiaz is taking over a state party that lost ground in November's election, causing some national political commentators to suggest Florida may no longer be a swing state but solidly Republican. AP VoteCast, a survey of the Florida electorate, found Trump won 58% of Cuban American voters statewide. Biden only won the county by 7 points, which accounts for most of Trump's increased victory margin in the state. Florida Democrats must win South Florida by large margins to offset the Republicans' strong support in north Florida. Diaz told Saturday's meeting that Florida Democrats are "at a crossroads.” A lawyer, he served as Miami mayor from 2001 to 2009.
AP VoteCast: Georgia voters’ view of country’s outlook shifts after November
Read full article: AP VoteCast: Georgia voters’ view of country’s outlook shifts after NovemberTrends and opinions among Georgia voters appear to be shifting since the November election, according to AP VoteCast, which surveys thousands of voters in the state before the presidential race and during the Senate runoffs. One question asked voters whether they believed the country was heading in the right direction. Looking at attitudes toward President Trump among voters choosing Republicans: In the November election, 89% of Perdue’s voters said they had a very or somewhat favorable opinion of the president, in the AP VoteCast survey. Compare that to the results of the AP VoteCast survey for the runoff: Among Perdue voters, views of the president remained similar, with 87% favorable to 12% unfavorable. But I would expect there will be a large chunk of voters who will step away after what they witnessed this week.”
Dems' Georgia alliance is diverse and broad. Is it durable?
Read full article: Dems' Georgia alliance is diverse and broad. Is it durable?Democrat Raphael Warnock won one of two runoffs in Georgia with a broad coalition of voters including Black Americans, moderates and suburban women. Democrats narrowly edged out Republicans among that group, according to AP VoteCast, a survey of more than 3,700 Georgia voters. Black voters — 32% of the electorate in the runoff, according to the survey — supported Ossoff and Warnock almost universally. VoteCast showed Black voters were 29% of the November electorate. About 6 in 10 Georgia voters say they were contacted on behalf of Democratic candidates, compared with about half for Republican candidates, according to VoteCast.
Warnock, Ossoff win in Georgia, handing Dems Senate control
Read full article: Warnock, Ossoff win in Georgia, handing Dems Senate controlMartin Luther King Jr. preached, becomes the first African American from Georgia elected to the Senate. They also cemented the transformation of Georgia, once a solidly Republican state, into one of the nation’s premier battlegrounds for the foreseeable future. “This campaign has been about health and jobs and justice for the people of this state — for all the people of this state,” Ossoff said in a speech broadcast on social media Wednesday morning. Trump’s claims about voter fraud in the 2020 election, while meritless, resonated with Republican voters in Georgia. AP VoteCast found that 6 in 10 Georgia voters say Senate party control was the most important factor in their vote.
AP VoteCast: How Democrats won the Georgia Senate runoffs
Read full article: AP VoteCast: How Democrats won the Georgia Senate runoffsIn defeating Republicans Kelly Loeffler and David Perdue, Democrats will have half the seats in the chamber, leaving Vice President-elect Kamala Harris to serve as tiebreaker. About three-quarters of voters who backed Republican candidates in Georgia's Senate runoffs say Biden was not legitimately elected two months ago. Nearly two-thirds of all Georgia voters were pessimistic about the nation’s future. Georgia voters were keenly aware of what was at stake. That position was in line with Georgia voters.
AP VoteCast: Competing coalitions define Georgia Senate races
Read full article: AP VoteCast: Competing coalitions define Georgia Senate racesNearly two-thirds of all Georgia voters were pessimistic about the nation’s future. In November, about three-quarters of Republican voters in Georgia considered the nation on the right track. Georgia voters were keenly aware of what was at stake. After weeks of the GOP candidates warning about the impact of Democratic control of the White House, House and Senate, Republican backers were more likely to prioritize holding a Senate majority than Democratic supporters. That position was in line with Georgia voters.
The Latest: Ossoff-Perdue Senate race is too early to call
Read full article: The Latest: Ossoff-Perdue Senate race is too early to callGeorgia's two Senate runoff elections on Tuesday will determine which party controls the U.S. Senate. ___HERE’S WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT THE GEORGIA SENATE ELECTIONSGeorgia’s two Senate runoff elections Tuesday will determine which party controls the U.S. Senate. Democrats need to win both of Georgia’s Senate runoff elections to claim the Senate majority. Georgia’s two Senate runoff elections on Tuesday will determine which party controls the U.S. Senate. Georgians are voting on two Senate runoff elections that will determine control of the U.S. Senate.
'This is proof': Biden's win reveals power of Black voters
Read full article: 'This is proof': Biden's win reveals power of Black voters“We believed in the power of Black voters and Black organizers in our movement." In 2008 and 2012, Black voters showed up in record numbers for Barack Obama, the nation’s first Black president — setting a new high bar. Black Biden voters were much more likely than other Biden voters — especially those who were white — to say they were casting their ballots for the Democrat rather than against Trump, according to AP VoteCast. Black Voters Matter Fund targeted more than 15 states, sending a fleet of buses on road trips across the nation. Activists said they intended to keep up momentum and expected a flood of attention and money, giving Black voters another chance to demonstrate their power.
Youth vote helped Biden in Georgia, may be focus of Senate runoffs
Read full article: Youth vote helped Biden in Georgia, may be focus of Senate runoffsAP VoteCast and Edison Research found that 57% of those votes went to Joe Biden -- 188,000 more votes than for Donald Trump. Biden still hasn’t been declared the winner in Georgia, but he leads the state’s unofficial vote count just over 10,000 votes -- a margin that will certainly trigger a recount later this month. Georgia vote age breakdownSome young people who missed the cutoff to vote on Nov. 3 expect to be on the voter rolls for the Jan. 5 runoffs in Georgia’s two U.S. Senate races. “We are the future of this economy and we should be voting for our future and for our rights," almost 18-year-old Leilani Williams said. You should want to vote for somebody that is doing something that you feel is right," Williams said.
For Biden, how to help mangled economy is next obstacle
Read full article: For Biden, how to help mangled economy is next obstaclePresident-elect Joe Biden will inherit a mangled U.S. economy, one that never fully healed from the coronavirus and could suffer again as new infections are climbing. Among Biden voters, 89% said it was more important to contain the pandemic than limit any ongoing damage to the economy. The vast majority of Trump voters, 85%, believe that corruption would be a “major problem” in a Biden presidency. Likewise, 92% of Biden voters say corruption would be a “major problem” if Trump secured a second term. There is also a philosophical divide: Most Biden voters believe the government should do more to solve the nation’s problems, while most Trump voters say the government is already doing too much.
AP VoteCast: How did Biden do it? Wide coalition powered win
Read full article: AP VoteCast: How did Biden do it? Wide coalition powered winTrump, meanwhile, held his base of white voters without a college degree, rural voters and religious conservatives. Biden voters more closely reflected America — 63% of his supporters were white, and 37% were people of color. “We are a force to be reckoned with,” said Linda Wilson, a Black woman and Biden voter, of the mobilization of Black voters. He was backed by 56% of voters under 45 and 90% of Black voters. And while Trump won white voters overall, Biden ate away at his advantage among white women and young white voters.
AP VoteCast: Trump wins white evangelicals, Catholics split
Read full article: AP VoteCast: Trump wins white evangelicals, Catholics splitTrump won both of those states by less than 1 percentage point in 2016, but Biden prevailed in both this year. This year, Catholic voters accounted for 22% of the electorate, and there was a sharp rift within their ranks by race and ethnicity. Among white Catholics, 57% backed Trump and 42% backed Biden, according to VoteCast. In 2016, Trump won 64% of white Catholics and Clinton won 31%, according to a Pew Research Center analysis of voters. One bright spot for Trump among religious voters was his performance among The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints members.
VoteCast: Data shows why Georgia elections are closer this year
Read full article: VoteCast: Data shows why Georgia elections are closer this yearUsing the Associated Press VoteCast tool, News4Jax has access to thousands of surveyed voters in the Peach State. Data from VoteCast shows why the state was so close, closer than in previous election cycles. Among Black voters, Trump did not do well. However, Trump did do much better among white voters in Georgia in this survey beating Biden 69% to 29%. Nationally, vote-by-mail voters tended to support Biden and that was the case in Georgia.
AP VoteCast: Trump, Biden coalitions show race, class divide
Read full article: AP VoteCast: Trump, Biden coalitions show race, class divideSix in 10 voters — including most Biden voters and about a quarter of Trump voters — said the nation was on the wrong track. Biden voters were far more concerned about racism in the U.S., after a year of rising tensions, peaceful demonstrations and sometimes-violent clashes over racial justice. Nearly all Biden voters called racism a serious problem in U.S. society and in policing, including about 7 in 10 who called it “very” serious. Trump had an edge in stewarding the economy, with roughly half of voters in these states saying he would do better than Biden. ___AP staffer Doug Glass contributed to this report from Kenosa, Wisconsin, and AP staffer Kristin Hall contributed to this report from Nashville, Tennessee.
AP VoteCast: Florida voters sour on state of nation
Read full article: AP VoteCast: Florida voters sour on state of nationAP VoteCast found that 42% of Florida voters said the United States is on the right track, and 57% of voters said it is headed in the wrong direction. The AP called the race for Trump in Florida. I think he’s done an excellent job.”Both Black voters and Latino voters were more likely to support Biden. The survey of 3,584 voters in Florida was conducted for eight days, concluding as polls closed. The survey combines a random sample of registered voters drawn from the state voter file and self-identified registered voters selected from nonprobability online panels.
AP VoteCast: Trump makes inroads with Latinos in key states
Read full article: AP VoteCast: Trump makes inroads with Latinos in key statesBut it also showed that candidates can't always take traditional supporters for granted, according to AP VoteCast, a national survey of the electorate. Nationally, Biden earned support from roughly two-thirds of Latino voters, while Trump got the backing of about a third. But Latino voters are not a monolithic bloc, given their vastly different cultures, and many U.S.-born Latinos have few cultural ties to Latin America. AP VoteCast also found South Americans made up 3% of the electorate, and they split about evenly between the two candidates. Trump voters remain adamant that the economy is in good shape: About three-quarters call national economic conditions excellent or good.
AP VoteCast: Voters favor Biden on virus, Trump on economy
Read full article: AP VoteCast: Voters favor Biden on virus, Trump on economyIssues such as racism and climate change were concerns for the majority of Biden voters, but they resonated less with Trump backers. Trump voters overwhelmingly endorsed their president. A majority of Biden voters — about 6 in 10 — said the pandemic was the most important issue, more than twice the share of Trump voters. About 6 in 10 voters — including most Biden voters and about a quarter of Trump voters — said they think things in the country are on the wrong track. Trump had an edge in stewarding the economy, with roughly half of voters in these states saying he would do better than Biden.
AP VoteCast: Trump, Biden voters differ on pandemic, economy
Read full article: AP VoteCast: Trump, Biden voters differ on pandemic, economyMost Trump voters say he has changed Washington for the better; most Biden voters say he's changed it for the worse. About half of Trump voters called the economy and jobs the top issue facing the nation, while only 1 in 10 Biden voters named it most important. A majority of Biden voters — about 6 in 10 — said the pandemic was the most important issue, more than twice the share of Trump voters. Trump voters were more likely than Biden voters to say they agreed with their candidate all or most of the time, 81% versus 74%. Biden voters were somewhat more likely than Trump voters to say they’ve felt the impact in at least one of those ways, 73% to 62%.
Dems head toward House control, but lose incumbents to GOP
Read full article: Dems head toward House control, but lose incumbents to GOPThough they seemed likely to retain House control, their performance was an unexpected disappointment for the party, which hoped for modest gains of perhaps 15 seats. Democrats control the House 232-197, with five open seats and one independent. By retaining House control, Democrats would mark only the second time in a quarter century that they've led the chamber for two consecutive two-year Congresses. She declared that Democrats had won the House majority, which seemed highly likely but hadn’t been officially declared by The Associated Press. “House Republicans have outperformed all expectations," said Dan Conston, who heads the Congressional Leadership Fund, a committee aligned with House GOP leaders that provides millions to Republican candidates.
Telling the story of Vote 2020 is a marathon, not a sprint
Read full article: Telling the story of Vote 2020 is a marathon, not a sprintNews4Jax has prepared for months to be able to tell you not only who wins hundreds of local, state and national races, but some of the reasons why. We’ll be live on Channel 4 all evening, of course, as the station has done on election nights since before most of us were born. Staci Spanos is examining the competitive U.S. Senate races across the nation with updates on which party may control the upper chamber of Congress next year. You’ll see a live Balance of Power map to see which party will control the U.S. House and Senate next year. We’re also employing the resources of the I-TEAM to check into any claims of voting irregularities and our Trust Index team, verifying rumors and claims relating to the election, voting and the results.
Looking at the issues behind the votes
Read full article: Looking at the issues behind the votesJACKSONVILLE, Fla. – News4Jax has a new tool this election year to help us understand why voters in Florida, Georgia and across the country made their decisions of who to vote for and to shed light on why the winners won. The Associated Press is surveying thousands of voters and, unlike typical exit polls, AP VoteCast meets registered voters where they are, reaching them via mail, by phone (landline and cell phone) and online, using a random sample of registered voters to carefully calibrate a massive poll conducted using opt-in online panels. On election night, we will be able to tell you about the electorate’s age, gender, racial and ethnic makeup, its level of education, what they think the most important issues facing America are, who they voted for and much more. News4Jax reporters Scott Johnson and Travis Gibson will be looking at the responses to see what’s happening on the ground in Florida and Georgia and bring that data to you on-air and online on Tuesday night and beyond. While you wait, here’s an example of the type of information you’ll find when the real data goes live at 5 p.m. Tuesday.
AP VoteCast: How Black women shape Democratic politics
Read full article: AP VoteCast: How Black women shape Democratic politicsWASHINGTON Black women are often called the backbone of the Democratic Party reliable and loyal voters whose support can make or break a candidate. Nineteen percent of Black women Democrats said immigrants do more to hurt than help the country, compared to 13% of other Democrats. One clue that the latter might play a role: Black women in the Democratic primary this year were little different from other Democratic voters in views of specific health care policies. In the 2020 primaries, Black voters, including Black women, were about as likely as other voters to support a single payer health insurance plan. And like other primary voters, an even larger percentage of Black women supported a public insurance option.
Anatomy of a political comeback: How Biden earned nomination
Read full article: Anatomy of a political comeback: How Biden earned nominationMODERATE VOTERSA majority of Democratic voters wanted to put a moderate with practical policy proposals in office over a liberal with bold ideas. ___OLDER VOTERSA solid 61% of primary voters were older than 45 -- a group that firmly supported Biden. Biden finished fourth in the Iowa caucuses on Feb. 3 and fifth in the New Hampshire primary about a week later. Before South Carolina, no candidate had earned more than one-third of this group. ___ALL BEFORE CORONAVIRUS AND GEORGE FLOYD'S DEATHThroughout the primaries, Democratic voters said health care was the most important problem facing the nation.