Location 1555 miles W of The Cabo Verde Islands Wind 35 mph Heading W at 17 mph Pressure 29.77 Coordinates 47.4W, 15.9NDiscussionAt 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the remnants of Wilfred were located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 47.4 West. The remnants are moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this general motion should continue during the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Winds should continue to decrease over the next couple of days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

Tropical depression #22, according to nearly all of the hurricane intensity models, will quickly spin up into Wilfred. By Friday evening, the system will have acquired tropical storm force winds (sustained winds of 40 mph or greater) and the hurricane center will make the announcement, that they are officially out of names for this season. Only the season of 2005 have we done this since lists of names were announce ahead of each season. TD #22 likely to named Wilfred later todayNote on the picture below that the “cone of uncertainty” becomes a bulb, this is an indication that the forecast from the National Hurricane Center has unusually high levels of uncertainty, basically a low confidence forecast. The good news is that this will be a slow moving system.

Luckily, the death toll has been relatively low and the damage is in the low tens of billions of dollars. Starting this upcoming weekend will be a multi-day nor’easter that will likely cause significant issues for a good number of people who live along any tidal waterway and for those who live at the beach. A massive high pressure will develop over eastern Canada, then build down the east coast of the United States. The result will be strong northeast winds that will help surge the Atlantic Ocean into area waterways, up into the dunes along area beaches, plus push localized (not every backyard) heavy downpours that will cause some street flooding. Here the northeast winds will really pound the beaches with beach erosion likely, could lose significant amounts.

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. – With storm warnings issued that include Florida’s Panhandle, the Atlantic storm season is a Wilfred away from going Greek. Hurricane Sally was threatening the Gulf Coast on Monday, with a hurricane warning in effect from Morgan City, Louisiana, to Navarre, Florida, according to the National Hurricane Center. A tropical storm warning was in effect from Navarre in Santa Rosa County to Indian Pass in Gulf County. Meanwhile, the hurricane center on Monday was tracking four other named storms in the Atlantic Ocean — Paulette, Rene, Teddy and Vicky. That has only occurred once before, in 2005, when there were 27 named storms.