JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – Scattered storms are firing up and drifting inland, expect them to proliferate to the west of Highway 301 into the evening hours. Expect the storms to fade after sunset as we cool off, making it down into the mid 70s overnight.
Wednesday looks wet- the low we are monitoring for the potential for tropical development will drift southward into the Gulf, dragging tropical moisture across our area and setting us up for widespread waves of rain to push through. Expect 70% chances for rain and highs in the low 90s. The best timing of the rain will be in the afternoon hours.
Thursday our forecast dries out a little, this is dependent on the potentially tropical low drifting further to the west as anticipated, resulting in drier air being dragged across our state and lowering our chances for a shower to 30%. Afternoon highs will climb into the low to mid 90s.
Friday our we weather kicks back off, with 60% chances for afternoon showers and thunderstorms once we warm up into the low to mid 90s.
This weekend, you'll have to dodge afternoon storms firing up, with 60% chances you will see them. Afternoon highs will warm up to around 93°.
Tracking the Tropics: A weak front located over southwestern Georgia is producing disorganized showers. This disturbance is expected to move southward or southwestward during the next day or so, and a broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday.
Once the disturbance is over water, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week while the system moves westward across the northern Gulf of Mexico.
Regardless of whether or not a tropical cyclone develops, this system has the potential to produce heavy rainfall along portions of the northern and eastern U.S. Gulf Coast later this week. Formation chance through 48 hours - 50 percent. Formation chance through 5 days - 80 percent.
Hourly Forecast:
5 pm 91 - 40%
8 pm 84 - 30%
10 pm 82 - 20%
Sunset: 8:31 pm