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Black Creek flooding on the move

But will it keep going up or down?

Water rising around Black Creek in Clay county comes too close for comfort for residents. (Susan Estabrook, wjxt)

High water on Black Creek is finally easing and expected to drop below the 16 foot flood stage by late Sunday afternoon.

It can’t happen soon enough for residents along Black Creek near Middleburg. Recent heavy rain from Friday night pushed water for a second time above flood stage this past week. The river swelled to 18 feet Sunday morning causing water to overflow onto streets.

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Water beyond the creek. Here flooding on McClelland Rd. (wjxt)

Susan Estabrook posted images on Facebook of water on the roads around Normandy which goes into the tributaries that force Black Creek higher in heavy rain events. Those headlands serve as a catch basin providing early indications of potential future flooding.

More than 5 inches of rain in Clay county was certainly enough to push the water beyond the flood stage and accelerate it’s rapid rush. Canoeists watch out. Streamflow is gushing at 3 mph, far faster than the more typical lazy rate of around one-half mph.

5 inches of rain led to Clay county runoff which pushed Black Creek beyond its banks. (wjxt)

Fortunately less rain is in the forecast and the levels have already begun dropping. Hydrologists predict by Tuesday the height of the river will drop in half...more than 8 feet lower!

After reaching 18' Black Creek will drop below the 8' action stage Tuesday. (wjxt)

Tropical Storm Debby in June 2012 set the highest record inundating 587 homes in Clay county as Black Creek overflowed. Several roads and highways in North Florida were left impassable, after the storm dropped over 28 inches in north Florida.

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About the Author
Mark Collins headshot

After covering the weather from every corner of Florida and doing marine research in the Gulf, Mark Collins settled in Jacksonville to forecast weather for The First Coast.

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