Satellite data indicate that the circulation associated with a low pressure area over the west-central Caribbean Sea remains broad, but the system is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms mainly to the east of the center of circulation. Environmental conditions appear favorable for additional development and a tropical depression is likely to form over the next day or two while the low moves northeastward toward Jamaica, Haiti, and eastern Cuba.
An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is en route to investigate the system.
Formation chance through 48 hours is 70 percent. Formation chance through 7 days is 70 percent.
Closer to home, a non-tropical area of low pressure located between southern Florida and the northwestern Bahamas is associated with a frontal boundary. Development of this system into a tropical cyclone is not expected.
However, gusty winds and heavy rains will still be possible across portions of the east coast of Florida and the Bahamas during the next day or so while the low moves northeastward over the southwestern Atlantic.
Formation chances remain low at 0 percent through 48 hours and the next 7 days.