JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – The National Hurricane Center is tracking four tropical waves, for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean and Atlantic Ocean.
Here’s what we know about each one:
Closer to home: In the Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico there hasn’t been much change in the tropical wave that is moving westward at about 20 mph and producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms across portions of the central Caribbean Sea. Some development is possible early next week when the system moves over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
Formation chance through 48 hours is near 0 percent. Formation chance through 7 days remains at 30 percent.
Eastern Atlantic: An elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next few days while it drifts northwestward.
Formation chance through 48 hours is now 10 percent and the formation chance through 7 days is down to 20 percent.
Central Tropical Atlantic: Another tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development of this system, if any, is expected to be slow to occur over the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions are expected to become less favorable for additional development by the end of the week.
Formation chance through 48 hours is 10 percent. Formation chance through 7 days is also 10 percent.
The new one to watch: Between Bermuda and the Eastern US a non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east of North Carolina is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics over the next few days as it moves north- northeastward, remaining offshore of the northeastern United States.
Formation chance through 48 hours is 10 percent and through 7 days is 20 percent.