FLOOD ADVISORY:
Flagler County until 5:45 PM - expired
Another front is moving through the Florida-Georgia border and it’s bringing more rain. Rain will continue along the east coast from Florida to the Carolinas. This stationary front will do more of the same by bringing consistent days of rain. Flood watches and warnings will be highly likely for the next week.
TONIGHT:
Rain remains Sunday evening as temperatures will stay in the mid-70s with mostly cloudy skies, high humidity rates above 60 percent, and winds from the North and northeast. Dewpoints will remain nearly parallel with environmental temperatures. Calmer winds will remain in Northeast Florida than Southeast Georgia where winds will be breezy between 10 to 15 miles per hour. Rain accumulation will range from a tenth to a quarter of an inch for SE Georgia and NE Florida. Rain will continue after sunset this evening for Florida and Georgia.
MONDAY:
Put your umbrella in the car before you head to work.
Temperatures will stay in the mid to low 70s with, mostly cloudy skies, and high humidity. Rain will dwindle to a trace for Northeast Florida through the early morning while Southeast Georgia will see slightly higher accumulation in some areas. Mid-morning rain and thunderstorms are possible through the afternoon. Temperatures will peak into the low 80s for the afternoon as rain chances remain around 50 percent for NE Florida and SE Georgia. Clouds will remain for the day. Calmer winds will remain in Northeast Florida than Southeast Georgia where winds will be breezy between 10 to 15 miles per hour. Rain chances remain into Monday evening.
LOOKING AHEAD:
Drier air moves into the Southeast region of the United States, while dewpoints for Southeast Georgia and Northeast Florida remain in the 60 to 70-degree range. We will continue to have an unstable atmosphere primed for rain. Water in the atmosphere remains at 2 inches. There will be humid late nights and early mornings. Early morning fog remains possible.
There is a potential for more moisture in the atmosphere if a low-pressure system continues to develop in the western Gulf as it pulls more moisture to the Gulf States including Florida; moving through Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi.
Press play above to watch live radar
Rain chances are currently 60 to 80 percent for the rest of the work week.
TRACKING THE TROPICS:
So far, the disturbances in the Atlantic are not heading toward Florida, however, the disturbance in the Western Gulf will likely have a low indirect impact on Florida in the form of moisture, especially for Gulf counties.
WESTERN GULF
The low pressure continues to produce rain and thunderstorms. The composition of the low and its characteristics make it likely to develop into a tropical depression or storm by the beginning of this week. Multiple models currently show it moving north to northwest towards Texas and Louisiana. Hurricane Hunters will assess the storm today. Formation chances are 90 percent over the next 24 hours to seven days.
As of Sunday evening the system in the Western Gulf is moving northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). Though it is currently a disturbance Air Force reconnaissance data indicates that maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. It is expected to become a tropical storm by Monday.
Potential Tropical Cyclone Six:
Possible rainfall of 4 to 8 inches with local amounts to 12 inches
Impact: Parts of Mexico, Texas and Louisiana
CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC
AL92 is currently a cluster of rain and thunderstorms as it continues to show development that could lead to a tropical depression. It is currently located at approximately 43 W 14 N. Formation chances: 60 percent in the next 48 hours and 70 percent in the next seven days.
EASTERN CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC
A trough of low pressure that appears almost like a U-shaped curve is the location of possible development. It is located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands with a broad area of disorganized rain and storms. It could form into a tropical depression slowly over the next several days. There is a zero percent chance of formation in the next 48 hours and a 50 percent chance of formation in the next 7 days.