The GFS and the EURO Hurricane Models are showing possible development in the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure could form late this weekend or early next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
Thereafter, some slow development of this system is possible through the middle of next week while it moves slowly to the north or northwest over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.
Although formation chances are weak, development that close to home should be monitored for any changes this weekend and early next week.
Formation chance through 48 hours is 0 percent. Formation chance through 7 days is 30 percent.
Gordon tries to make a comeback: The remnants of Gordon remain disorganized with showers and thunderstorms located over the central tropical Atlantic.
This system is forecast to interact with a non-tropical low to its northwest while moving north-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph during the next couple of days.
Environmental conditions could allow for development later this week and a tropical depression or storm could re-form in a few days while the system moves slowly northward over the central subtropical Atlantic.
Formation chance through 48 hours is 20 percent and the formation chance through 7 days is down to 50 percent.
Planning: The tropics are expected to become more active next week, with a tropical system possibly forming in the southern Gulf of Mexico and drifting northward. Use this weekend to restock supply kits and review family plans. Monitor the tropical forecasts from the National Hurricane Center and through the Hurricane Tracker app.