We have past the peak of Hurricane Se
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories and monitoring Tropical Depression Joyce and newly formed Tropical Storm Kirk. These two storms will continue over the open Atlantic.
Closer to home: Keep an eye on the spot in the northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico as a trough of low pressure continues to produce some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Environmental conditions could allow for gradual development and a tropical depression could form in a few days while the system is over the southern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea.
Any interests along the U.S. Gulf Coast should continue to monitor the progress of this system.
Formation chance through 48 hours is 10 percent. Formation chance through 7 days is down to 40 percent.
Deeper in the eastern Tropical Atlantic, showers and thunderstorms continue to increase in association with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands.
Conditions look good for further development and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while it moves slowly westward over the eastern tropical Atlantic.
Formation chance through 48 hours is 50 percent and the formation chance through 7 days is 90 percent.