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Tracking the Tropics: Two disturbances could develop into storms

Chances increasing for possible storm (WJXT TV 4)

FLORIDA – There is a disturbance in the Central Tropical Atlantic. It is referenced as “AL94″. It is now a “well-defined” area of low pressure located roughly midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles.

Storms and thunderstorms are visible from satellite images. However, it is not highly likely to develop due to it being surrounded by a dry environment. The disturbance will continue moving west and could develop into a tropical depression.

Spaghetti Models for a disturbance in Central Atlantic (WJXT TV 4)

Formation chance through 48 hours is 10 percent. Formation chance through 7 days is 60 percent.

A disturbance is in the Western Caribbean Sea. Its location is generally near areas where Helene and Milton developed at different periods of time. The disturbance is currently a broad area of low pressure is likely to form over the southwestern Caribbean Sea by the middle to latter portions of this week. The system is moving towards Central America.

Formation chance through 48 hours is 0 percent. Formation chance through 7 days is 20 percent.

Chances increasing for possible storm (WJXT TV 4)

Long-term models do not show either disturbance impacting Florida, however, storm development is fluid and can change quickly.


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