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Tropical disturbance heading in Florida’s direction begins to fizzle

2 tropical disturbances won’t affect our weather this week

NHC: Two Disturbances

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – Many questions continue to flood our newsroom about the “hurricane” in the Gulf. This statement remains untrue.

There isn‘t a named storm or even one expected to form in the next seven days.

One of the areas we were keeping an eye on, AL94, fizzled a bit over the past few days.

Here’s the current outlook:

  • East of the Leeward Islands (AL94 - Orange): Recent satellite surface wind data showed the circulation associated with a disturbance over the tropical Atlantic Ocean has become less defined since Tuesday, according to the National Hurricane Center. Moving west-northwestward, this area of low pressure continues to be disorganized with a small-to-medium chance of development (30-40%) over the next 2-7 days. A tropical
    depression could form as the system moves near the Leeward and Virgin Islands late this week.
  • Western Caribbean Sea (Yellow): Another area of low pressure with associated showers and thunderstorms is in the southwestern Caribbean Sea. This disturbance could develop if it stays over water while moving slowly northwestward to Central America. There’s a 20% formation chance in the next 2-7 days.

About the Author
Michelle McCormick headshot

Michelle McCormick joined News4Jax in December 2023 and in February 2024, she happily accepted the opportunity to officially join the News4Jax Weather Authority team as the weekend morning meteorologist. She is a member of both the American Meteorological Society and National Weather Association.

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