The spot that we have been watching in the Western Caribbean Sea is now Potential Tropical Cyclone 15 and continues to produce widespread showers and thunderstorms and has become a little better organized.
Conditions appear favorable for additional development and a short-lived tropical depression or storm could form before the system moves inland over Central America on Saturday.
Interests in Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system, as tropical storm watches or warnings may be required.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of Central America and southern Mexico through the weekend.
Formation chance through 48 hours and the next 7 days is 70 percent.
Deeper in the Atlantic the area north of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, AL94, indicates that the trough of low pressure continues to produce showers and thunderstorms extending a couple hundred miles north of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands.
Development of this disturbance should be slow to occur while it moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at around 20 mph, continuing north of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands today, then near Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas this weekend.
Further development is not expected due to strong upper-level winds next week.
Formation chance through 48 hours and 7 days 20 percent.