Potential Tropical Cyclone was centered near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 85.7 West. The system is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph.
A turn toward the west is expected tonight and Saturday while the system approaches the coast. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph with higher gusts.
Some slow strengthening is forecast and the disturbance is forecast to become a tropical storm before making landfall tomorrow.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb or 29.68 inches.
A NOAA buoy in the Yucatan Basin reported a sustained wind of 31 mph and a gust of 38 mph.
Deeper in the Atlantic the area north of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, AL94, indicates that the trough of low pressure continues to produce showers and thunderstorms extending a couple hundred miles north of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands.
Development of this disturbance should be slow to occur while it moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at around 20 mph, continuing north of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands today, then near Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas this weekend.
Further development is not expected due to strong upper-level winds next week.
Formation chance through 48 hours and 7 days 30 percent.