JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms in the Central and Western Caribbean Sea that could impact Florida, but right now it’s too early to tell exactly where it will go.
According to the NHC, environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week as the system moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean Sea.
The chance of Sara forming has increased to 60% and 90% for the 2 and 7-day windows. All models predict something forming, the big difference is where the storm goes.
Afterward, the disturbance is expected to meander over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend and begin moving slowly, generally northwestward, by early next week.
Interests across the western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system.
Hurricane season ends Nov. 30.
While it‘s extremely uncommon for a hurricane to impact the United States in November, it’s not unheard of.
Of the 287 hurricanes that made a mainland U.S. landfall in NOAA’s database, only four of those did so in November, according to Weather.com. And Hurricane Nicole hit Florida just two years ago.
