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Northeasterly winds continue, rain building in tomorrow

TD 16 has formed in the Caribbean

The onshore winds built up today and were sustained in the 20-25 mph range today with gusts upwards of 30mph. Coastal flooding was a problem around high tide again, especially along the St Johns River. 

Tonight we will see a few showers blown onshore by our continuous northeasterly winds and our temperatures will get down into the mid to low 70s. 

The nor'easter conditions continue Thursday with onshore winds between 20-25mph with gusts over 30mph. Flooding will be a big concern, the full moon in also Thursday which by itself can cause flooding from higher than normal high tides. We expect 2-3 ft above normal high tide levels and moderate flooding. 

Thursday will be increasingly overcast with better chances for showers, expect 50% chances for coastal showers to be pushed onshore and inland. 

Late Thursday the winds began to weaken slightly, and Friday the winds will finally calm down.

Friday will be mostly cloudy with only a 40% chance for showers. 

The weekend's forecast could change drastically based on Tropical Depression 16's eventual track. Right now we will start out partly cloudy on Saturday and top out in the upper 80s with 50% chances for afternoon showers. Sunday we could get brushed by the tropical system that may become named Nate. Currently it looks like mostly cloudy skies and 70% chances for rain- updates will occur to this forecast and there is a good chance Sunday & Sunday night will be a Weather Authority Alert Day. 

 

Local Threats from the Nor' Easter:

High risk of rip currents.
High Surf Advisory is in effect for northeast Florida beaches for
surf of 5 to 8 feet.
Small craft advisory for coastal waters.
Coastal Flood Warning for Moderate Flooding of St. Johns River 
basin and its tributaries, mainly during times of high tide.

Tropics:  Tropical Depression Sixteen has formed and is located near latitude 12.5 North, longitude 82.5 West. The depression is moving northwest near 7 mph and this motion is expected to continue today. The depression will be near the coast of Nicaragua early Thursday and eastern Honduras late Thursday before emerging into the northwestern Caribbean Sea on Friday. Maximum sustained winds are 35 mph with higher gusts. The depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today or tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. The forecast cone for 16 brings the system into the Gulf this weekend and shows a landfall in the panhandle of Florida. Some of Northeastern Florida is currently in the cone of concern. It is too early to tell how the system will impact our area, but we anticipate a moderate impact Sunday night into Monday morning at most. 

Hourly Forecast:

6 pm - 79 - 30%

8 pm - 76 - 30%

10 pm - 75 - 30%

 

Sunrise: 7:22 am

Sunset: 7:08 pm


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